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The issues of intercultural conflictogenicity in the new conditions of communication development are considered. It is noted that the possibilities of preventing and possible resolution of intercultural conflicts were fixed in the sphere of interest in another culture and the search for value coincidences or intersections. The intercultural conflict was assessed as an interethnic, ethno political, and interethnic conflict. The existing understanding of the intercultural conflict and the recommended approaches to its resolution are insufficient in the modern socio-cultural space. New challenges of intercultural communication give rise to new factors of conflictogenicity. All this requires new approaches and goals in the study of intercultural conflict. The application of the theory of random models is proposed to study the cause-effect relationships of intercultural conflicts as a new research tool. The causal model is considered as a conceptual model describing the mechanisms of the system. The advantages of causal models in relation to the study of intercultural conflictogenicity are noted. Casual models improve the quality of intercultural research by providing clear rules for the inclusion of independent variables in the analysis. Casual models allow us to answer some questions of intercultural communication on the basis of existing data obtained through observations. Since such studies of intercultural conflictogenicity are impossible for ethical or practical reason, some hypotheses cannot be tested without a causal model. It is proved that the application of the theory of causal models in assessing the causality of intercultural conflict and the formation of ways to resolve it leads to the development of prospects for interaction with representatives of other cultures. This provides greater efficiency for intercultural interaction, gives a more complete satisfaction of the cultural needs of individuals and communities.