ИСТИНА

The February 6th, 2023, M7.8 - 27 km E of Nurdağı and M7.5 - 4 km SSE of Ekinözü, Turkey earthquakes with more than 60,000 fatalities in Turkey and Syria share the 5-6th place in the List of the World’s deadliest earthquakes since the year 2000. The observed ground shaking was much larger than the maximum PGA estimates with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years at their sites of either the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP, 1999) or Global Earthquake Model (GEM, 2018) final hazard maps. On the other hand, the occurrence of devastating earthquakes was expected in the disjunctive D-node of the morphostructural zonation of Anatolia pattern recognized by Gelfand et al. in 1973 and within the only two out of 262 circles of investigation that spread over most of the global seismic belts where Time of Increased Probability starting from July 2021 was determined in the on-going real-time Global Testing of the M8 algorithm aimed at magnitude range M8.0+ (confirmed in the next semi-annual updates, most recently in January 2023).