Self-Organization at the Break in the Trajectory of Socioeconomic Development: Challenges for Russiaстатья
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Статья опубликована в журнале из списка Web of Science и/или Scopus
Дата последнего поиска статьи во внешних источниках: 24 февраля 2021 г.
Аннотация:In the development of the world economy, global integration and disintegration cycles alternate.Growth of the world economy can be considered as a regime with aggravation in analogy with populationgrowth in the theory of S.P. Kapitsa. Accordingly, this growth is subject to internal laws, not external restrictions. Kapitsa formulated this position as the principle of the demographic imperative. A slowdown in bothpopulation growth and economic growth in the coming years is inevitable. Both a pessimistic scenario in thespirit of “limits to growth” and a transition from extensive to intensive development in the spirit of the ideasof disgraced Soviet philosopher M.K. Petrov are possible. Today, first, we can observe a rapid intensificationin production processes both in industry and agriculture, as well as in the sphere of intangible production.Second, intangible consumption is increasingly replacing material. The third prerequisite for maintaining theprogressive development of society in the face of a significant slowdown in GDP growth is a turning point inthe trend toward the degradation of educational and intellectual levels.