Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?

Akaev, A.; Korotayev, A.; Zinkina, J.

Статья опубликована в высокорейтинговом журнале

Информация о цитировании статьи получена из Web of Science, Scopus
Статья опубликована в журнале из списка Web of Science и/или Scopus
Дата последнего поиска статьи во внешних источниках: 17 января 2017 г.

Авторы: Akaev A., Korotayev A., Zinkina J.
Журнал: Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Том: 98
Год издания: 2016
Издательство: Elsevier BV
Местоположение издательства: Netherlands
Первая страница: 1
Последняя страница: 6
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.009
Аннотация: There are grounds to conclude that in 2011–2012 theWorld System experienced to some extent a phase transition to a qualitatively new state of global protest activity. This phase transition is shown to bear some resemblance to the one which the World System experienced in the early 1960s. The first (after 1919) phase transition of this sort occurred in the early 1960s and was related to the growth of global informational connectivity afterWorld War II, as well as the improvement of the means of protest self-organization due to the spread of television, portable radio receivers, portable electric loud-speakers and other technologies of the Fourth Kondratieff Cycle. The phase transition of the early 2010s was prepared by a newwave of growth of global informational connectivity, aswell as the improvement of the means of protest self-organization due to the spread of various technologies of the Fifth Kondratieff cycle (the Internet, satellite television, Twitter and other social networks, mobile telephony etc.). Similarly to what was observed during the Fourth Kondratieff Wave, during the Fifth Cyclewhile the spread of these technologieswas going on for many years before 2011, their internal colossal potential for generating and spreading protest activity was realized in one leap, as a phase transition.
Добавил в систему: Коротаев Андрей Витальевич

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Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?статья

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