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Atmospheric circulation and storm events in the Black Sea and Caspian Seaстатья
Информация о цитировании статьи получена из
Web of Science,
Scopus
Статья опубликована в журнале из списка Web of Science и/или Scopus
Дата последнего поиска статьи во внешних источниках: 27 мая 2015 г.
- Авторы: Surkova G.V., Arkhipkin V.S., Kislov A.V.
- Журнал: Central European Journal of Geosciences
- Том: 5
- Номер: 4
- Год издания: 2013
- Издательство: Versita (Central European Science Publishers)
- Местоположение издательства: Poland
- Первая страница: 548
- Последняя страница: 559
- DOI: 10.2478/s13533-012-0150-7
- Аннотация: Extreme sea storms are dangerous and a potential source of damage. In this study, we examine storm events in the Black Sea and Caspian Sea, the atmosphere circulation patterns associated with the sea storm events, and their changes in the present (1961–2000) and future (2046–2065) climates. A calendar of storms for the present climate is derived from results of wave model SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) experiments. On the basis of this calendar, a catalog of atmospheric sea level pressure (SLP) fields was prepared from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset for 1961–2000. The SLP fields were subjected to a pattern recognition algorithm which employed empirical orthogonal decomposition followed by cluster analysis. The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data is used to evaluate the occurring circulation types (CTs) within the ECHAM5-MPI/OM Atmosphere and Ocean Global Circulation Model (AOGCM) for the period 1961–2000. Our analysis shows that the ECHAM5-MPI/OM model is capable of reproducing circulation patterns for the storm events. The occurrence of present and future ECHAM5-MPI/OM CTs is investigated. It is shown that storm CTs are expected to occur noticeably less frequently in the middle of the 21st century.
- Добавил в систему: Суркова Галина Вячеславовна