Modified Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast: Map of Expected Earthquakes. Processing and Analyzing the Initial Data

Zavyalov, A.D.; Morozov, A.N.; Aleshin, I.M.; Ivanov, S.D.; Kholodkov, K.I.; Pavlenko, V.A.

Авторы: Zavyalov A.D., Morozov A.N., Aleshin I.M., Ivanov S.D., Kholodkov K.I., Pavlenko V.A.
Журнал: Izvestiya - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Том: 59
Номер: 7
Год издания: 2023
Издательство: Pleiades Publishing, Ltd
Местоположение издательства: Road Town, United Kingdom
Первая страница: 761
Последняя страница: 771
Оригинальные версии: Модифицированный метод среднесрочного прогноза землетрясений «Карта ожидаемых землетрясений» (КОЗ): подготовка и анализ исходных данных
DOI: 10.1134/S0001433823070058
Аннотация: This article is the second in a series devoted to the modification of the Map of Expected Earthquakes (MEE) method of medium-term earthquake forecasting. The description of algorithms for preparing and analyzing initial data and the results of their application are presented. In particular, the following additional functional capabilities have been achieved: (1) the creation of various computational grids for further spatial and temporal scanning of the earthquake catalog within the analyzed seismic active region, (2) the declustering of earthquake catalogs and evaluation of representative values of energy classes (magnitudes) in space and time, and (3) the evaluation of time interval length for calculating the background parameters of prognostic features. The overall result of successful scientific and technical work will be the creation of an upgraded method for medium-term earthquake prediction taking into account the spatial distribution of earthquake sources, the integrated use of physically based earthquake precursors, the results of seismic zoning in the form of a lineament–domain–focal (LDF) model, and other related areas of research.
Добавил в систему: Завьялов Алексей Дмитриевич

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Modified Medium-Term Earthquake Forecast: Map of Expected Earthquakes. Processing and Analyzing the Initial Dataстатья Исследовательская статья

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