|
ИСТИНА |
Войти в систему Регистрация |
ИПМех РАН |
||
Climate change, glacier retreat, and water availability in the Caucasus Regionтезисы доклада Исследовательская статья
- Авторы: Shahgedanova M., Hagg W., Hassell D., Stokes C.R., Popovnin V.
- Сборник: Threats to Global Water Security. NATO science for peace and security. Proc. Adv.Sci. NATO workshop (13-18 October 2007, Yerevan, Armenia). Ed. by Jones, J., A. A., Vardanian, T. G. and Hakopian, C
- Серия: series C: environmental security
- Тезисы
- Год издания: 2009
- Место издания: Springer Publ Dordrecht
- Первая страница: 131
- Последняя страница: 143
- DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2344-5
- Аннотация: The paper discusses the observed and projected warming in the Caucasus region and its implications for glacier melt, water availability and potential hazards. A strong positive trend in summer air temperatures of 0.05 degrees C year(-1) is observed in the high-altitude areas (above 2000 m) providing for a strong glacier melt. A widespread glacier retreat has also been reported between 1985 and 2000, with an average rate of 8 m year(-1). A warming of 5-7 degrees C is projected for the Sum mer months in the 2071-2100 period under the A2 emission group of scenarios, Suggesting that enhanced glacier melt and a changing water balance can be expected.
- Добавил в систему: Поповнин Виктор Владимирович